CONSULTANT – ANALYSIS OF COASTAL RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES AND FEASIBILITY OF THE PROSPECTS OF ESTABLISHING SPONGE CITIES IN LAGOS

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Job Description

LAGOS STATE PARTNERSHIP FOR COASTAL RESILIENCE INITIATIVE

TERMS OF REFERENCE

ANALYSIS OF COASTAL RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES AND FEASIBILITY OF THE PROSPECTS OF ESTABLISHING SPONGE CITIES IN LAGOS

TERMS OF REFERENCE SUMMARY INFORMATION

Institution WaterAid/Resilient Water Accelerator

Project Name State Partnership for Coastal Resilience Initiative (SPCRI)/Lagos Water Partnership

Component Analysis of the Technical Strengths and Weaknesses of Lagos State Policy and Regulatory Capability and the Feasibility Studies into the Prospects of Establishing Sponge Cities Using Nature-Based Solutions

Project Number

Terms of Reference Manager

Start/Completion Date Start: 15/11/2024 tendersglobal.net End: 15/03/2025

OCTOBER 2024

Content

Background Information

Terms of Reference

Deliverables

Timeline of Activities

Project Budget and Payment Schedule

Submission of Proposal

Disclaimer

Background Information:

Coastal Resilience in Lagos:

Lagos is one of Africa’s largest and fastest-growing megacities with a population of over 25 million people, a gross domestic product of 84 billion USD and a growth of 77 people per hour between 2010 and 2030. It is located on swampy mangroves along Nigeria’s Atlantic Coastline. Surrounded by wetlands, lagoons and the Atlantic Ocean, Lagos is battling with water resilience challenges. The city slopes north to south, with the built-up region at one metre above sea level along the coast and 75 metres above sea level in the north. The natural vegetation is saltwater mangrove swamp forest but has been replaced by impermeable surfaces due to rapid urbanization. The coastal region is extremely vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, including sea level rise and increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events. The ever-increasing rate of urbanization, population growth, demand for land for development and the attraction for coastal areas for residential schemes by the wealthy has resulted in huge reclamation activities which further reduce coastlines and makes rural coastal communities even more prone to flooding and displacement.

Lagos has been recognised as one of the 6 most vulnerable megacities in the world from the effects of sea level rise due to climate change and sinking land (NASA Study 2016). The physical coastal pressure due to the urbanisation of Lagos, Victoria Island and the entire Lekki corridor is already enormous and continues accelerating in an unstoppable way. The coastal erosion, mainly originating from the Commodore Channel breakwater structures, has been combatted by man-made interventions that spread over approximately 15 kilometres on the ocean. However, erosion is still taking place where these interventions stop (CDR International, 2024).

Water is a critical resource in Lagos, and the city’s coastal resilience is an important factor in its overall resilience to these challenges. These challenges present a significant threat to the growth and development of the city. To move towards sustainable urbanization, the city needs to protect its coastal areas to be resilient to hazards including those associated with climate change. There are different multilateral corporations with high-end business activities across economic value chains, including oil and gas, food and beverages, technological and hardware manufacturers, agricultural producers and other competitive sectors. The City Governance structure consists of different Ministries, Departments and Agencies, with mandates of managing the operations of different aspects of the City’s economy, including about 15 water-related institutions. The coastal areas of Lagos State are occupied by more than 50% of its population, impeding its economic activities due to certain vulnerabilities. To improve the city’s economic comparative advantage, there is a need for a collaborative approach by all water stakeholders in the State, to lead the development and deployment of innovative solutions that mitigate against the impacts of climate change and build the resilience of coastal areas.

The project, State Partnership for Coastal Resilience Initiative (SPCRI) is bringing together water stakeholders in the State, to catalyse cross-sector collaboration and governance that will advance State-wide action to address coastal risk and improve coastal resilience.

State Partnership for Coastal Resilience Initiative

The Lagos State Partnership for Coastal Resilience Initiative is a public-private partnership model that brings together water stakeholders, to catalyze cross-sector collaboration that advances actions to address coastal risk and improve coastal resilience. The initiative seeks to promote a collaborative approach that identifies key issues mitigating coastal resilience, ranging from policy and advocacy challenges, community capacity issues, finance and investment complexities, and infrastructural deficits, and promote the development of innovative nature-based solutions that sustainably improve the resilience of coastal area dwellers. The project seeks to organize water-related stakeholders and institutions in Lagos State, to build a consultative platform that identifies, manages the coastal economy of the State, and enhances community capacity for engagement and participation, while serving as a means that will take the city from the stage of diagnosing and identifying coastal economy challenges, to developing and deploying innovative and sustainable nature-based solutions to improve coastal resilience and promote the economic activities of the coastal regions.

Project Objectives:

Improve the climate resilience of the coastal regions of Lagos State through, community empowerment, advocacy and policy reforms that protect the region and promote community rights and local economic activity.

Identify and develop a portfolio of bankable coastal resilience projects with different finance mechanisms for investment in the State.

Promote the identification and development of community-driven nature-based solutions to improve city coastal resilience and promote local economic activity.

Objective 1 focuses on the deployment of advocacy and policy reform tools to champion a climate-resilient coastal region of Lagos through interventions such as research and feasibility studies and the initiation of a Lagos Coastal Development Platform which is now known as the Coastal Resilience Working Group (CoastRes) under the Lagos Water Partnership (LWP), a platform leading the development and delivery of an investment vision for Lagos Water Security. The platform is where the key public and private sector players come together to reflect, plan and stimulate the implementation of the development and investment agenda for the water resources sector in Lagos.

The Research and Feasibility Studies component will analyze the technical strengths and weaknesses of Lagos State policy and regulatory capability on coastal resilience; and feasibility studies into the prospects of establishing sponge cities using nature-based solutions. Findings will inform policy reforms for a resilient coastal region. Other comparative cities in the continent will be studied to understand the policy tools deployed to promote the resilience of the coastal regions and understand the adaptability of such policies in Lagos State.

TERMS OF REFERENCE

The objective of this Terms of Reference (TOR) is to provide a guide on the scope of work, deliverables and timeline required to deliver the analysis of the technical strengths and weaknesses of Lagos State policy and regulatory capability on coastal resilience and feasibility studies into the prospects of establishing sponge cities using nature-based solutions. For this TOR, the Work will be divided into two Scopes namely; Scope 1: Analysis of the technical strengths and weaknesses of Lagos State policy and regulatory capability on coastal resilience and Phase 2: Feasibility Studies into the Prospects of Establishing Sponge Cities Using Nature-Based Solutions.

Scope 1: Analysis of the Technical Strengths and Weaknesses of Lagos State Policy and Regulatory Capability on Coastal Resilience.

Provide an overview of coastal resilience, its meaning, characteristics, landscape, population and impacts within the context of development in Lagos.

Identify various stakeholders directly or indirectly connected to the coastal resilience in Lagos and their roles and responsibilities towards the sector.

Identify and document various policies, plans and legislations that guide or impact the coastal resilience activities in Lagos.

Provide an overview of development along the coastal areas and its impacts on the coastal communities.

Based on the analysis from a – d, above, provide an assessment of the capacity of the state’s policy and regulatory on Coastal Resilience. The use of the Strength, Weakness, Opportunity and Threat matrix can be adopted as part of the assessment tools.

Recommend policy options and practical next steps for managing coastal resilience in Lagos State.

Scope 2: Feasibility Studies into the Prospects of Establishing Sponge Cities Using Nature-Based Solutions.

The Feasibility Study is a systematic evaluation of introducing a sponge city concept into the development scenario of Lagos State through the use of a nature-based solutions model. The feasibility will determine the potential viability and suitability of Sponge City as a tool to enhance the resilience of Lagos as a liveable city. It is expected to provide the city with essential information and insights on the concept of sponge city and nature-based solutions, and their benefits to the sustainability and resilience of Lagos to guide in committing resources to a full-scale adoption and implementation.

Provide an overview of the concept of sponge city and nature-based solutions. The descriptions, characteristics, landscape, population and impacts within the context of development in Lagos.

Analyze two evidence-based sponge city approaches and nature-based solutions in two cities, one in Africa and the other outside Africa to understand the policy framework, institutional set-up, implementation models, challenges, opportunities and scalable methods.

Map the potential sponge city’s locations across the city of Lagos and their scale on the city’s development footprint.

Project the climate impacts of the sponge city concept and the applicability of nature-based solutions in Lagos.

Appraise the technical benefits of adopting the sponge city concept and applicability of nature-based solutions in the development dynamics of Lagos State using two pre-mapped locations as case studies. Cost and benefit analysis tools can be adopted in this appraisal among other tools that may be necessary.

Evaluate the financial feasibility of adopting the sponge city concept and the applicability of nature-based solutions.

Identify various stakeholders directly or indirectly connected to the application of sponge city and nature-based solutions if adopted as integral parts of urban development in Lagos.

Analyze the risk involved in the adoption of Sponge City and nature-based solutions approaches in the development of Lagos. The risk analysis can cover political, social, economic and climate spheres.

Recommend the practical next steps for the adoption of Sponge City and nature-based solutions approaches in the development of Lagos.

DELIVERABLES

The Deliverables (D), as outlined in Table 3.1, under this project will be in two workstreams; D1A – Research Report on the Strengths and Weaknesses of Lagos State Coastal Resilience Ecosystem and D1B – Feasibility Report on the Need for Nature-Based Solutions as a Strategic Urban Resilience Infrastructure in Lagos.

Table 3.1: Deliverable and the Acceptance Criteria for Scopes 1 and 2

D/N Deliverable Minimum Acceptance Criteria

D1A Research Report on the Strengths and Weaknesses of Lagos State Coastal Resilience Ecosystem All activities listed in Scope 1 (a to i)

D1B Feasibility Report on the Need for Nature-Based Solutions as a Strategic Urban Resilience Infrastructure in Lagos All activities listed in Scope 2 (a to f)

PP A Close-Out PowerPoint Presentation Summary of the issues in D1A and D1B

Note: D means Deliverable

Maps, graphics, drawings, tables and other interactive information are expected at the relevant portions of each deliverable.

PAYMENTS SCHEDULE

The scope of work is in two workstreams; D1A – Analysis of the Technical Strengths and Weaknesses of Lagos State Policy and Regulatory Capability on Coastal Resilience and D1B – Feasibility Studies into the Prospects of Establishing Sponge Cities Using Nature-Based Solutions.

Table 4.1: Payment Schedule

D/N Milestone Payment (GBP)

1 Inception Report 40%

2 Submission of the First Draft Report 30%

3 Submission of the Final Report 30%

4 Total 100%

SUBMISSION OF PROPOSALS

Interested consultants should submit a copy of their proposal to procurementng@wateraid.org on or before Thursday, 14th November, 2024. All questions related to this TOR by interested Consultants should be directed by email to AdebayoAlao@wateraid.org or PhilipObosi@wateraid.org.

DISCLAIMER

The Resilient Water Accelerator (RWA)/WaterAid will not accept any liability or be responsible for any costs incurred by interested consultants in preparing a response for this TOR. Neither the issue of the TOR nor any of the information presented in it should be regarded as a commitment or representation on the part of RWA/WaterAid (or any of its partners) to enter into a contractual arrangement.

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CONSULTANT – ANALYSIS OF COASTAL RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES AND FEASIBILITY OF THE PROSPECTS OF ESTABLISHING SPONGE CITIES IN LAGOS

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